NEXRAD Hoax FAQ

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NEXRAD HOAX FAQ

Since about 1998, there have been theories floating around the Internet and on late-night conspiracy talk shows that radar anomalies visible on NEXRAD imagery and radar images provided by other providers (WeatherTap, AccuWeather, etc.) are proof of exotic military programs or conspiracies. These theories talk about HAARP being used by the military to modify the weather and cause earthquakes and that the energy is transmitted via the atmosphere. The NEXRAD images get mixed up into this theory because they, supposedly, show the electricity in the atmosphere.

This page will address some questions raised by some of these "wild theories" and some of the questions that readers may have about those theories.

If you're interested in seeing some of the specific claims of one of the believers of these theories, click here. I tried to debate him and while I wasn't able to get much additional information on his opinion of radar anomalies, his other comments and beliefs are quite revealing.

  1. Are these theories true?

    In a word, no.

  2. Is it true that the Department of Defense is involved in NEXRAD?

    Yes. The NEXRAD network was developed and funded by the Department of Commerce, the National Weather Service, the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA), and the Department of Defense. (Source)

  3. Is NEXRAD a military program?

    No. As mentioned in the previous question NEXRAD was partly funded and continues to be maintained, in part, by the Department of Defense. However, the NEXRAD network is operated and maintained by the "Radar Operations Center" (ROC, see previous link) which includes employees from each of the previously mentioned agencies as well as external contractors. It is unreasonable to believe that the military would implement a secret, covert operation using NEXRAD sites that are jointly maintained by civilian agencies and many of which are located at relatively unsecure locations with no military protection whatsoever.

  4. Can NEXRAD control the weather?

    No. NEXRAD sites are simply advanced radar that transmits a radio frequency wave into the atmosphere and waits to "hear" a radio frequency echo. There is no reason to believe, nor is there evidence to suggest, that NEXRAD sites can control the weather.

  5. Are NEXRAD sites "electrifying" the atmosphere?

    No. Certainly no more than your local radio stations. NEXRAD stations transmit bursts of 750kwatts for 7 seconds of every hour. (Source) and there are a total of 140 of them for a total of 105,000kwatts for 7 seconds every hour. Considering that they only transmit for 7 seconds (0.19%) each hour, the effective amount of energy transmitted into the atmosphereic is 105,000 * 0.0019 = 199.5 kilowatts. Now, consider that the average cell phone transmits about 3 watts and that there are 180 million cell phones in use in the U.S. alone and even if we assume that only 1% (1.8 million) of them are in use at any given time, that still is 5,400 kilowatts--over 27 times the amount of energy transmitted each hour by NEXRAD. Also consider that this radio station is transmitting at 50 kilowatts watts and that there are hundreds of other similarly-powered stations around the country and world--it only takes 4 of them to equal the amount of power transmitted into the atmosphere by NEXRAD. A single bolt of lightning contains billions of watts of energy, and there are a 100 lightning strikes per second worldwide. To suggest that NEXRAD contributes any significant energy to the atmosphere is absurd.

  6. Are NEXRAD sites "channeling" energy from Alaska through the Continental U.S.

    No. There is no evidence, nor any reason to believe, that NEXRAD sites are capable of channeling anything. They are radars controlled by civilian agencies to detect weather conditions, nothing more.

  7. I read on a website something that contradicts what you said above. They said that NEXRAD can control the weather. Who is right?

    Sites that suggest NEXRAD can control the weather generally are sites that also believe that contrails in the sky are actually chemicals being dispersed by the government, they believe that HAARP can cause earthquakes, and believe NEXRAD and HAARP together, in addition to controlling the weather, form a missile defense shield (SDI). Many of them also believe that 9/11 was a government plot to give us an excuse to invade other countries and that "free energy" exists but the oil companies aren't letting the technology reach the public. Some also believe you can dissipate clouds and contrails by reciting New Age-style meditations and believe that there are people who appear on the Art Bell talk show that have invented devices that violate the laws of Physics yet have only been heard of on that program. Many still believe in "Cold Fusion" which was effectively rejected by physicsts worldwide back in 1989. A large number of them also sell books and videos professing any combination of the above beliefs.

    The believers that frequent these sites will admonish you for being "close-minded" when, in reality, you will not find a group of people with minds more closed than theirs. They have built their own reality and outsiders are generally treated with suspicion until they profess to believe what the rest of them believe. Anyone who dares question their beliefs is quickly labeled close-minded, a trouble-maker, a "debunker," a government stooge, or a necon. You are expected to question the government and your understanding of physics, but questioning them is not welcome and will generally result in you getting flamed rather than getting a coherent answer.

    In short, the sites that suggest that NEXRAD can control the weather suggest a lot of other things that most people would agree are science fiction or material for the next Oliver Stone movie. Their "evidence" is mostly circumstantial and primarily based on speculation, not sound science, and their motives run from "paranoid" to "profit-taking" as they sell their conspiracy wares online.

    To believe what these sites proclaim about NEXRAD you essentially have to buy into a whole belief system that contradicts just about everything you learned in school and adopt a whole "they're out to get you" mentality where the government is pure evil and anyone that disputes their beliefs has been hired by the government to mess with them.

  8. Can you prove that you weren't lied to by government employees and that the hoax theory is actually true and they're just engaging in deception and misinformation?

    This is a silly question. This is like asking a husband "Have you stopped beating your wife, yes or no?" If he says yes then you can conclude that he used to beat his wife, and if he says no then you can conclude that he still does. It's a fool's question and only would be asked by a fool.

    Of course it can't be proven that what the hoax says isn't true. That's the beauty of most conspiracy theories: they can't be disproven because the nature of the theory itself is that the conspiracy is supposedly top-secret and that everyone who might know something about it can and will lie and provide disinformation. Any "proof" (such as expert statements stating that a theory is not true or a radar anomaly is benign) will immediately be disqualified by the conspiracy theorist as being untrustworthy. The theories are cooked up in someone's imagination and aren't supported by any facts to start with. But conspiracy theorists will then use the lack of evidence either for or against the conspiracy as evidence of a cover-up. There's really no winning a debate like this with a conspiracy theorist.

    What we can do--and have done on this site--is demonstrate that there is a very rational, down-to-earth explanation for the radar anomalies that have been observed. We can analyze and study radar anomalies at Billings, Reno, and North Platte and provide technical information based on experts and public technical information that more than adequately explains the anomalies.

    The logical, educated adult will then be able to balance the lack of evidence the supports the NEXRAD hoax theory and the evidence provided here that provides a rational and adequate explanation of the anomalies and come to a reasonable conclusion on his or her own.

  9. Do you think you will convince any hoax believers that it really is a hoax?

    Probably not. As already mentioned, they tend to believe this stuff with an almost religious fanaticism. They've ignored facts, the truth, and reality long enough that this site is most probably not going to phase them. In fact, I've seen them actually get upset when I've used the word "truth," almost as if they're afraid of it.

    I hope, however, to reach those that might have just heard about the hoax and are doing some web-surfing to reach an educated conclusion on whether or not the hoax is true. These are the people I hope to reach here: Those that are actually looking for the truth rather than those that have a preconceived notion about it.